jueves, 11 de febrero de 2016

Swedish Bank Move Creates a Global Shudder

What if the bazooka is shooting blanks?
Since the financial crisis, it has been gospel for many investors that some combination of actions by central banks — bond buying, bold promises or flirtations with negative interest rates — would be enough to keep the global economy out of recession.
But investors’ distress over the latest volley by a major central bank, the surprise decision on Thursday by the Swedish central bank to lower its short-term rate to minus 0.50 percent from minus 0.35 percent, has heightened fears that brazen actions by central bankers are now making things worse, not better.

Global stock markets sank, the price of oil plunged to a 13-year low and investors fled to safe haven instruments like gold and United States Treasury bills.
Markets generally embrace conviction and run away from indecision — which is what many see in the policy making of some of the large central banks these days.
The Swedish central bank, the Riksbank, for example, has been criticized in the past for prematurely raising rates, and Thursday’s rate cut was opposed by two bank deputies.
At the European Central Bank, Jens Weidmann, the head of the powerful German Bundesbank, remains at odds with the president, Mario Draghi, in terms of how loose the central bank’s policies should be.
And in the United States, the Federal Reserve is seen by some market participants to be wavering in its commitment to higher rates in light of the market turmoil.
Speaking to Congress, Janet L. Yellen, the chairwoman of the Fed, sought to dispel the notion that interest rates might be headed anywhere but up.
“We will meet in March, and our committee will carefully deliberate about what impact these developments have had,” she said, referring to turmoil in the markets.

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